I stole this from MLBTRADERUMORS.COM.
I Thought you might enjoy it.
Will Carroll of Baseball Prospectus tell us not to expect the Yankees to offer arbitration with Alex Rodriguez and Scott Boras. However, Brian Cashman told Joel Sherman "of course" the Yankees would offer it, because of the two draft picks involved.
Sherman notes that there's a "very slim possibility" of Rodriguez accepting, and then getting a $30-40MM one-year contract as a result of the hearing. He adds that A-Rod would lose his no-trade clause in this scenario. This would be a great scenario for the Yankees. Rodriguez on any kind of one-year commitment is a sweet deal, and he'd be very trade-able. One year, $40MM is a lot easier to stomach for any team than 10 years, $300MM.
If they do offer arbitration and A-Rod declines (the most likely scenario), the Yankees will hope for one of the teams picking 16th-30th in next June's draft to sign him. That could be the Cubs, Tigers, Mets, Angels, or Red Sox. In those cases the Yankees get that team's first-round pick. On the flip side, it would not be preferred if the Dodgers, Giants, or any other team picking 1st-15th signs him. Those picks are protected.
Interesting A-Rod side note: one GM surveyed by Jerry Crasnick predicted A-Rod would end up with the Orioles.
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Sherman notes that there's a "very slim possibility" of Rodriguez accepting, and then getting a $30-40MM one-year contract as a result of the hearing. He adds that A-Rod would lose his no-trade clause in this scenario. This would be a great scenario for the Yankees. Rodriguez on any kind of one-year commitment is a sweet deal, and he'd be very trade-able. One year, $40MM is a lot easier to stomach for any team than 10 years, $300MM.
If they do offer arbitration and A-Rod declines (the most likely scenario), the Yankees will hope for one of the teams picking 16th-30th in next June's draft to sign him. That could be the Cubs, Tigers, Mets, Angels, or Red Sox. In those cases the Yankees get that team's first-round pick. On the flip side, it would not be preferred if the Dodgers, Giants, or any other team picking 1st-15th signs him. Those picks are protected.
Interesting A-Rod side note: one GM surveyed by Jerry Crasnick predicted A-Rod would end up with the Orioles.
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8 comments:
Great article. I had no idea that there were more options for the Yanks. To quote Cash, "of course" the yanks are going to offer him arbitration. The worst case scenario is that they may have to pay him crazy cash for one year. Although, if you think about it, There's no way that even if it is accepted, Boras would take less than $35 mill. Of course the yanks will say no, and go to an arbiter, and there's no way that any arbiter settling the case would think that would be fair. He will assess A-rod's value and will no doubtedly make him the highest paid player but that will end up being less than $30 mill. Boras and A-rod will get royally screwed.
I'll take the picks. Another Joba, Kennedy or Hughes could be waiting in the wings. Maybe even a B.J. Upton.
the yanks could draft a catcher and he would be on pace to take over for posada in the 4th year of his contract.
Mike im lovin the posts
the GM meetings are gettin more press than colts-patriots. I love it!!
arod would be stupid to accept arbitration from the yankees hes coming off a great year why would he turn that into a 1 year deal when he can sign a 8 to 10 year deal off of it...
choose 1 yr 30 or 8 yrs 240
cmon...
if he accepts arbitration and has an off year he wont get that big of a deal and he'll be a year older
in response to ur text
so if im the yankees im not worried that arod will accept arbitration it will be stupid of him to do that coming off this great year
so offer him arbitration and he'll turn it down and u'll get the 2 picks...
the only reason not to offer him it is because ur afraid he'll accept it but like i said he wont...
understand me now
ABE THATS THE POINT YOUR RIGHT HE WONT ACCEPT A ONE YEAR DEAL HE HAS TO BE STUPID TO DO THAT. BUT THAT MEANS IF HE DOES ACCEPT IT THE YANX OBVIOUSLY WILL WORK OUT MORE THEN JUST A YEAR CONTRACT AND OFCOURSE IF HE DOESNT ACCEPT THEN WE COULD GET SOME EARLY DRAFT PICKS WHICH COULD TURN INTO THE FUTURE FOR THE YANX WHO CAN WIN CHAMPIONSHIPS WHEN A-RODS GRAY AND IN A ROCKING CHAIR. SO EITHER WAY OFFERING ARBITRATION IS A WIN WIN SITUATION FOR THE YANX.
wow now anonymous will never reveal himself after that post....
how embarrassing..
you remind me of all the yankee fans that jumped on the bandwagon in the late 90's....
i didnt know red sox fans could be so stupid....
around here they are known to know their baseball..
but u just threw that out the window...
oh and u do know that u just won the world series...or should i explain that to you
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